Detroit Lions News & Rumors: Lions Schedule Breakdown, Jared Goff vs. Matthew Stafford + Free Agency

MicroMike and the panel are back on for the OnePride Podcast. In this show, MicroMike will talk about the latest Detroit Lions news and rumors. When it comes to the Lions, what is the latest information? Also, the panel will talk about Detroit Lions 2021 NFL free agency targets. Who can the Lions acquire to help the team? Also, the mailbag segment is live for questions and answers from the Lions fan base.

Detroit Lions fans are in an interesting spot right now. Without question, fans are over the moon with the current regime. Head coach Dan Campbell is saying all the things Lions fans want to hear, and general manager Brad Holmes has made some savvy roster moves in both free agency and the 2021 NFL Draft. A recent poll suggests that 96 percent of Lions fans approve of the direction the team is headed.

Yet in the immediacy, after the 2021 NFL schedule dropped, we polled fans again to see what their expectations were for the Lions this year. 64 percent of fans are predicting the Lions to win six games or fewer this upcoming season.

So where’s the disconnect? Well, part of it is simply Lions fans accepting the fact that this is a team in a rebuild and rebuilds require time. The other part of the equation is the schedule. Looking at the thing as a whole, you can tell it’s quite daunting. The Lions have the unfortunate luck of facing the NFC West and the AFC North this season, two divisions that produced a combined five playoff teams a year ago.

There are several ways to measure the difficulty of one’s schedule, but no matter how you look at it, the Detroit Lions have one of the most difficult schedules in the NFL this year. Let’s take a closer look.
By 2020 record

Predicting 2021 games based on 2020 results is fundamentally flawed and one of the biggest mistakes analysts make when producing season projections. But it’s a good place to start to give an idea of where things could potentially stand for Detroit.
CBS Sports compiled every team’s strength of schedule by 2020 record, and the Lions came out tied with the sixth-toughest slate of games. Their upcoming opponents averaged a .529 winning percentage last year. The good news is that the Bears (.550), Packers (.542) and Vikings (.531) all have more difficult schedules than the Lions by this metric. By amount of 2020 playoff teams:

Again, you see the Lions at the top of this list with the Bears, Vikings, and Packers all clustered there alongside. If you’re interested in the nine games against 2020 playoff teams, they are the Packers (twice), Seahawks, Rams, Bears (twice), Steelers, Ravens, and Browns. By 2021 win totals. Perhaps the most common way to measure future strength of schedule—and arguably the most accurate—is to use 2021 win totals created by Vegas sportsbooks. Betting lines tend to be somewhat accurate every year, so analysts add up all the projected win totals from every opponent on a team’s schedule and use that as a metric of schedule difficulty.

The issue here is that not all sportsbooks agree on win totals for each team. So here are four different results. BetMGM (via The Athletic) Lions have the third most difficult schedule, with 151 projected wins from their opponents (8.9 per opponent). Pro Football Network It’s unclear what source PFN is using for their win totals, but by their calculations, the Lions are tied for the ninth most difficult schedule in 2021.

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MicroMike is a Detroit Lions content creator who brings factual & statistical analysis, going against legacy main stream media. I’m looking to bring a non-biased view for OnePride nation. Part of the Infinite Sports Network where we talk about all sports endlessly.

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16 Comments

  1. Ambience Visions on May 15, 2021 at 1:01 am

    Tough schedule is good for the Lions. Not fair, but good. They aren’t going to win this year realistically (guessing 5-6 wins). They are too deficient with talent. They need more assets. Especially on defense. Less wins means higher draft picks next year. Not wishing ill on Stafford. I’d love to see him in the Superbowl. But if the Rams have a couple of key injuries, next years draft could be killer. Best case for the Lions is two years to the playoffs and two more firsts for final touches. Restore the Roar!!

  2. Derrick Watson on May 15, 2021 at 1:03 am

    If you don’t believe in yourselves as the Lions team What You Got to Believe In I believe we going to go to the Superbowl

  3. RMac on May 15, 2021 at 1:09 am

    Maybe he should wear some Honolulu Blue gloves on his hands!!! (Like Teddy Bridgewater) Go Goff!! Go Lions!!!

  4. Chris Mason on May 15, 2021 at 1:09 am

    7 wins sounds about right., unless Golf shots a few birdies n holes in one.

  5. keith santamaria on May 15, 2021 at 1:27 am

    hey Mike , question for later in the show , rumor OBJ to the Lions what do you think

  6. Patty grimes on May 15, 2021 at 1:28 am

    Y. 8-9 la Rams 7-10. When Dan orlasky went out of the in zone to give the Viking 2 points during 0-16 season

  7. Steph Tina on May 15, 2021 at 1:30 am

    People will be kicking themselves in few weeks if they miss the opportunity to buy and invest in bitcoin

  8. John W on May 15, 2021 at 1:32 am

    I drank the kool-aid …..I like this coaching stafff…I think Goff will work out here…9-8 this year

  9. Lisa Delorenzo on May 15, 2021 at 1:33 am

    Well Mike, at least you and the crew are being realistic. I appriecate the honesty!

  10. rick keway on May 15, 2021 at 1:34 am

    Double team Donald roll away from him goff good on roll out passing game.

  11. Lisa Delorenzo on May 15, 2021 at 1:37 am

    No, don’t want OBJ. He hasn’t played a full season almost ever and he’s too much of a Diva!

  12. Jamie Lowell on May 15, 2021 at 1:39 am

    Y – 8/9 wins if healthy

  13. Trenell harris on May 15, 2021 at 1:42 am

    Goff as insightful data on the Rams offense. Former Qb can’t offer them anything about what Lions do New Staff. Advantage LIONS 🦁

  14. Derrick Watson on May 15, 2021 at 1:43 am

    Y

  15. William Dennis on May 15, 2021 at 1:49 am

    Maybe if we are lucky Aaron Donald gets hurt before week 7

  16. rick keway on May 15, 2021 at 1:50 am

    Yes with running game all teams in our division can be run on.

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